Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 89679.298528 94590.314146 99497.786686 104766.299233 110258.866736 115812.751017 121849.647893
2025-05-25 81353.532865 88857.281624 96563.549114 105058.865127 114150.585879 123578.170956 134082.327344
2025-06-01 76108.123990 85448.844092 95249.593551 106278.099918 118320.449914 131048.525766 145496.134494
2025-06-08 71076.495294 81695.546270 93042.176941 106032.744887 120457.197148 135945.731735 153796.840846
2025-06-15 68138.814952 79916.462528 92698.694835 107549.352315 124273.966848 142471.558507 163712.825467
2025-06-22 65242.554880 77940.754710 91918.406646 108374.466223 127143.346684 147807.392711 172200.338010
2025-06-29 62297.464862 75713.547817 90677.286855 108511.647070 129091.116275 151994.363311 179308.827055
2025-07-06 59632.222271 73653.754933 89486.750204 108573.629102 130837.319766 155862.305847 185988.503439
2025-07-13 58273.835697 73028.512941 89874.525277 110390.329065 134551.059561 161947.775885 195202.606488
2025-07-20 56892.823317 72292.247926 90060.243909 111908.407366 137871.555077 167555.672303 203866.312431
2025-07-27 55285.033815 71203.015230 89757.799341 112786.935853 140392.315087 172204.308024 211405.934787
2025-08-03 53366.347958 69654.914155 88833.884994 112856.514896 141898.606019 175624.826904 217484.103591
2025-08-10 51625.824580 68285.136042 88098.054578 113140.505932 143670.235616 179393.037292 224042.314751
2025-08-17 49899.513654 66872.664660 87258.569733 113254.722159 145207.113178 182870.136326 230265.145875
2025-08-24 48851.254911 66265.356131 87371.471234 114505.901106 148107.373219 187980.039629 238465.967418
2025-08-31 47130.286322 64743.993832 86294.622725 114235.274411 149103.118708 190764.492857 243850.212200
2025-09-07 46402.688124 64461.589384 86741.980835 115843.980785 152407.572323 196358.832100 252672.110658
2025-09-14 45380.967696 63760.088379 86627.347894 116719.799316 154785.114758 200817.720848 260123.066114
2025-09-21 44084.870534 62657.039905 85962.985141 116865.372687 156223.524258 204108.438490 266141.397911
2025-09-28 42820.307452 61554.588949 85262.422703 116931.171986 157535.564525 207228.449550 271949.120484
2025-10-05 42425.929415 61590.381428 86019.449455 118860.315054 161209.686871 213300.183388 281454.608091
2025-10-12 41919.342003 61454.971756 86538.004566 120472.082881 164480.267582 218881.368515 290380.489166
2025-10-19 41155.840316 60946.735990 86546.666874 121404.718685 166873.384385 223365.078067 297952.023579